From Moscow’s perspective, the U.S. proposal for a peace summit is an invitation to a diplomatic dance, and the Kremlin is carefully weighing the pros and cons before accepting. Engaging in the U.S.-led process offers both potential benefits and significant risks for Russia.
The primary advantage is the potential for sanctions relief and a way out of a costly military conflict. A negotiated settlement, especially one involving the U.S., could provide a path back to a more normal relationship with the West and stabilize the Russian economy. It also offers a platform for Putin to be seen as a global statesman.
However, the risks are substantial. A summit on an American timeline could make Putin appear to be acting under U.S. pressure. Furthermore, any concessions on territory could be seen as a sign of weakness at home, threatening his domestic standing. There is also the risk of being drawn into a diplomatic trap designed to isolate Russia further if the talks fail.
Moscow’s current cautiousness reflects this complex calculation. Before stepping onto the dance floor, the Kremlin wants to know the music, the steps, and who is leading. Its deliberate pace is an attempt to manage these risks and maximize the potential benefits of engaging in this U.S.-choreographed diplomatic dance.